{"id":129616,"date":"2019-04-09T12:17:58","date_gmt":"2019-04-09T09:17:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/prof-dr-alkin-2019da-negatif-buyume-olmayacak\/"},"modified":"2019-04-09T12:18:01","modified_gmt":"2019-04-09T09:18:01","slug":"prof-dr-alkin-2019da-negatif-buyume-olmayacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/prof-dr-alkin-2019da-negatif-buyume-olmayacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Prof. Dr. Alkin: “2019\u2019da negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcme olmayacak”"},"content":{"rendered":"

Prof. Dr. Emre Alkin, 2019\u2019un k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte zorlu bir y\u0131l olaca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\u00c7ukurova Gen\u00e7 \u0130\u015fadamlar\u0131 Derne\u011fi\u2019nin Akademi \u00f6\u011frencileriyle bir araya gelen Prof. Dr. Emre Alkin, \u201cF\u0131rt\u0131nada Ayakta Kalma Sanat\u0131\u201d ve \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Gelece\u011fi Parlak\u201d konular\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ve d\u00fcnya ekonomisini \u00fczerine genel de\u011ferlendirme yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00fcretimin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131ndan yak\u0131n\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Alkin, \u201c\u00dclke olarak \u00fcretime kafay\u0131 takm\u0131\u015f durumday\u0131z. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00fcretmekle ilgili sorunu yok. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00fcretmekten b\u0131km\u0131\u015f insanlar\u0131 var. Biz sanayicilerin \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de b\u0131kt\u0131rd\u0131k. Sanayi yapmak \u00e7ok zor, maliyetler zaten \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek. En g\u00fczeli arazileri AVM\u2019lere \u00e7evirelim, daha fazla para kazanal\u0131m d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesiyle ve in\u015faat furyas\u0131yla insanlar\u0131 sanayiden so\u011futtuk. Sanayiden so\u011futmadan dolay\u0131 bizim cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda da yap\u0131sal bir sorun olu\u015ftu. \u0130thalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n y\u00fczde 85\u2019inden fazlas\u0131 hammadde, yat\u0131r\u0131mlara, \u00fcretime y\u00f6nelik. T\u00fcrkiye ithalat yapamazsa \u00fcretim yapamayacak halde\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Kalk\u0131nma ve yap\u0131sal reformlar<\/p>\n

Gen\u00e7lere \u2018\u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm odakl\u0131 \u00fcretim\u2019 tavsiyesinde bulunan Prof. Dr. Alkin, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de s\u00fcrekli b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden s\u00f6z edildi\u011fini, ancak, as\u0131l konu\u015fulmas\u0131 gereken konunun yap\u0131sal reformlarla kalk\u0131nmay\u0131 sa\u011flamak oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekerek, konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:<\/p>\n

\u201cHerkesin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yaparsan, mal ve hizmet \u00fcreterek rekabet edersen \u00e7ok sert bir rekabetle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131rs\u0131n. \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm anlam\u0131nda bir \u015fey \u00fcretti\u011fin zaman farkl\u0131 olursun. D\u00fcnyada milli geliri y\u00fcksek uluslar\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fine bak\u0131n. Hi\u00e7 vergi reformu yok, y\u00fcksek ithalat vergisi yok. Ne var, adalet, e\u011fitim, hak ve \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fckler. Yani yap\u0131sal reformlar. Ancak, \u00f6zg\u00fcr beyinler \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131, s\u0131ra d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u015feyler \u00fcretir. \u00dcst\u00fc-ast\u0131 herkesin adalet kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda e\u015fit oldu\u011fu, e\u011fitim seviyesinin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu, herkesin e\u015fit \u015fartlarla yar\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkede m\u00fcthi\u015f i\u015fler \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm olu\u015fturan \u00fclkeler de genellikle adalet, hak ve \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fckler, e\u011fitimin y\u00fcksek seviyelerde oldu\u011fu \u00fclkeler.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cResesyonda de\u011filiz\u201d<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n toplam gelirinin y\u00fczde 25\u2019ini, \u00c7in\u2019in y\u00fczde 15\u2019ini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ise y\u00fczde 1,07\u2019sini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7eken Alkin, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin durumu \u00e7ok k\u00f6t\u00fc de\u011fil. Siyasal rejimlerin istikrarl\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerlerde kalk\u0131nma ger\u00e7ekle\u015femiyor. \u00dclkemize bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z kalk\u0131nmayla ilgili de\u011fil b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle alakal\u0131. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n toplam borcunun y\u00fczde 31\u2019i ABD\u2019nin. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin borcu ise d\u00fcnyan\u0131n toplam borcunun y\u00fczde 0,4\u2019\u00fc. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin borcu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, \u00f6denemeyecek bir bor\u00e7 de\u011fil, ama, vade k\u0131sa ve faizi y\u00fcksek. 2019\u2019da \u00e7ok vahim bir \u015fey olmazsa T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu sene y\u00fczde 0-1 aras\u0131nda pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcme ihtimali var. Resesyonda say\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131z. Eksi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeme ihtimali var. Milli geliri b\u00fcy\u00fctmenin de bence bir \u00f6nemi yok. Bizim nicelik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan de\u011fil, nitelik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fcmemiz, kalk\u0131nmam\u0131z laz\u0131m\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019de sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi ge\u00e7ici\u201d<\/p>\n

2019 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in \u201cM\u00fc\u015fterileri elde tutma ve tahsilat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirebilme senesi\u201d yorumunu yapan Prof. Dr. Emre Alkin, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

\u201cEldeki m\u00fc\u015fterilerinin memnuniyetini her sene y\u00fczde 10 art\u0131r\u0131rsan, cironu da y\u00fczde 10 art\u0131r\u0131rs\u0131n. K\u00fcresel ticarette 2019\u2019un riskleri ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump, ticari korumac\u0131l\u0131k, brexit, jeopolitik riskler ve Suriye. Ticari korumac\u0131l\u0131k ticari diplomasiyi \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcr, ticari diplomasi \u00f6l\u00fcrse diplomasi \u00f6l\u00fcr, diplomasi \u00f6l\u00fcrse sava\u015f olur. Diplomasinin olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in de \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda bir olumlu m\u00fcnasebetin olmas\u0131 laz\u0131m, bu m\u00fcnasebeti de ticaretle kuraca\u011f\u0131z. \u0130ngiltere\u2019ye otomotiv ve tekstil sekt\u00f6r\u00fc olarak \u00e7ok ciddi mal sat\u0131yoruz, brexit olursa hangi anla\u015fmayla, nas\u0131l mal sataca\u011f\u0131z bilmiyoruz. Otomotiv ve tekstil sanayi korku i\u00e7erisinde. \u0130ngiltere \u2018ben \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131m\u2019 diyor ama oybirli\u011fiyle al\u0131nan kararlar\u0131n i\u00e7inde de var.\u201d<\/p>\n

G\u00f6r\u00fcnen t\u00fcm olumsuzluklara ra\u011fmen T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin gelece\u011finin parlak oldu\u011funu vurgulayan Prof. Dr. Alkin, \u201cGeli\u015fmekte olan 7 \u00fclkenin (E7) b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131 IMF, OECD, D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re G7 \u00fclkelerinin kat kat \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kacak. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi ge\u00e7icidir. Her karanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n sonu ayd\u0131nl\u0131kt\u0131r. \u015eirketlerin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, cirolar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n geli\u015fmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 yok. T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in en uyumlu b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 y\u00fczde 5\u2019tir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de baz\u0131 i\u015fler ters gidiyor ve ters giden i\u015flerin ba\u015f\u0131nda tar\u0131m geliyor. Tar\u0131m\u0131n hassasiyetle ele al\u0131nmas\u0131 laz\u0131m, in\u015faata benzemez” diye konu\u015ftu.

\"Prof. <\/a> <\/div> <\/div>
\"Prof. <\/a> <\/div>
\"Prof. <\/a> <\/div> <\/div> <\/div> <\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

PROF. DR. EMRE ALK\u0130N, 2019\u2019UN K\u00dcRESEL \u00d6L\u00c7EKTE ZORLU B\u0130R YIL OLACA\u011eI BEKLENT\u0130LER\u0130NE KAR\u015eILIK, T\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019N\u0130N NEGAT\u0130F B\u00dcY\u00dcMEYECE\u011e\u0130N\u0130 S\u00d6YLED\u0130.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":129617,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[19],"tags":[15528,15687,9422,279,14631,7389,2750],"class_list":["post-129616","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-2019da","tag-alkin","tag-buyume","tag-dr","tag-negatif","tag-olmayacak","tag-prof"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.tvturk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/prof-dr-alkin-2019da-negatif-buyume-olmayacak_cdae362.jpg?fit=1000%2C791","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paKIfm-xIA","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129616","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=129616"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129616\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":129621,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/129616\/revisions\/129621"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/129617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=129616"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=129616"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=129616"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}