{"id":150705,"date":"2019-04-30T12:23:05","date_gmt":"2019-04-30T09:23:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/yilsonu-enflasyon-tahmini-degismedi\/"},"modified":"2019-04-30T12:23:05","modified_gmt":"2019-04-30T09:23:05","slug":"yilsonu-enflasyon-tahmini-degismedi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/yilsonu-enflasyon-tahmini-degismedi\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u0131lsonu enflasyon tahmini de\u011fi\u015fmedi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Murat \u00c7etinkaya, \u201c2019 y\u0131lsonunda y\u00fczde 14,6 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fini, 2020 y\u0131lsonunda y\u00fczde 8,2\u2019ye 2021 y\u0131lsonunda y\u00fczde 5,4\u2019e geriledikten sonra orta vadede y\u00fczde 5 d\u00fczeyinde istikrar kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 varsay\u0131yoruz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Murat \u00c7etinkaya, d\u00fczenlenen &#8220;Enflasyon Raporu 2019-II&#8221; bilgilendirme toplant\u0131s\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada, enflasyon tahminlerine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmede bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7etinkaya, \u201cEnflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye odakl\u0131 bir politika duru\u015fu ve g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmi\u015f politika koordinasyonu alt\u0131nda enflasyonun kademeli olarak hedeflere yak\u0131n seyredece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmekteyiz. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede enflasyonu 2019 y\u0131lsonunda y\u00fczde 14,6 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fini, 2020 y\u0131lsonunda y\u00fczde 8,2\u2019ye 2021 y\u0131lsonunda y\u00fczde 5,4\u2019e geriledikten sonra orta vadede y\u00fczde 5 d\u00fczeyinde istikrar kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 varsay\u0131yoruz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Enflasyon olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131na de\u011finen \u00c7etinkaya, \u201cEnflasyonun y\u00fczde 70 olas\u0131l\u0131kla 2019 y\u0131lsonunda orta noktas\u0131 y\u00fczde 14,6 olmak \u00fczere y\u00fczde 12,1 ile y\u00fczde 17,1 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 2020 y\u0131lsonun orta noktas\u0131 y\u00fczde 8,2 olmak \u00fczere y\u00fczde 5,1 ile y\u00fczde 11,3 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmekteyiz.<\/p>\n<p>Hedeflenen patika ile uyumlu bir s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 alt\u0131nda \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon e\u011filimindeki iyile\u015fme, \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki geni\u015fleme ve y\u00f6netilen y\u00f6nlendirilen fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ili\u015fkin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00fcncelleme yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkileri telafi etti. S\u00f6z konusu etkilerin birbirini dengelemesi nedeniyle 2019 ve 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin enflasyon tahminlerinde de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmedik. Bu do\u011frultuda Ocak enflasyon raporunda y\u00fczde 14,6 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan 2019 y\u0131lsonu t\u00fcketici enflasyon tahmini mevcut rapor d\u00f6neminde de korundu\u201d \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>Gerekirse ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yap\u0131labilece\u011fi ifadesinin \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7etinkaya, son PPK karar metninde  gerekirse ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yap\u0131labilece\u011fine dair ifadenin \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u201cSon PPK karar metninde  gerekirse ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yap\u0131labilece\u011fine dair ifadeyi \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131p enflasyonun hedeflenen patika ile uyumunu g\u00f6zeten bir parasal duru\u015f sergileyece\u011fimizi vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. \u0130fadelerdeki bu de\u011fi\u015fiklik k\u0131sa vadeli bir y\u00f6n sinyalinden ziyade yap\u0131sal bir yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 yans\u0131tmaktad\u0131r. Enflasyonun projeksiyonlarla uyumunu s\u00fcrekli g\u00f6zetecek \u015fekilde parasal duru\u015fun belirlendi\u011fi bir \u00e7er\u00e7eveyi esas al\u0131yoruz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MERKEZ BANKASI BA\u015eKANI MURAT \u00c7ET\u0130NKAYA, \u201c2019 YILSONUNDA Y\u00dcZDE 14,6 OLARAK GER\u00c7EKLE\u015eECE\u011e\u0130N\u0130, 2020 YILSONUNDA Y\u00dcZDE 8,2\u2019YE 2021 YILSONUNDA Y\u00dcZDE 5,4\u2019E GER\u0130LED\u0130KTEN SONRA ORTA VADEDE Y\u00dcZDE 5 D\u00dcZEY\u0130NDE \u0130ST\u0130KRAR KAZANACA\u011eINI VARSAYIYORUZ\u201d DED\u0130.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":150706,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[19],"tags":[29577,12281,31039,33345],"class_list":["post-150705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-degismedi","tag-enflasyon","tag-tahmini","tag-yilsonu"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.tvturk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/yilsonu-enflasyon-tahmini-degismedi_6fbc83c.jpg?fit=1000%2C665","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paKIfm-DcJ","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=150705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/150705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/150706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=150705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=150705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=150705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}