{"id":168826,"date":"2019-06-13T14:02:17","date_gmt":"2019-06-13T11:02:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/prof-dr-ahmet-sedat-aybar-enflasyon-beklenenden-daha-hizli-dusecek\/"},"modified":"2019-06-13T14:02:17","modified_gmt":"2019-06-13T11:02:17","slug":"prof-dr-ahmet-sedat-aybar-enflasyon-beklenenden-daha-hizli-dusecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/prof-dr-ahmet-sedat-aybar-enflasyon-beklenenden-daha-hizli-dusecek\/","title":{"rendered":"Prof. Dr. Ahmet Sedat Aybar: \u201cEnflasyon beklenenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fecek\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti Merkez Bankas\u0131, Para Politikalar\u0131 Kurulu\u2019nun ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 politika faizinin y\u00fczde 24 d\u00fczeyinde sabit tutulmas\u0131 karar\u0131 piyasalarca olumlu kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131. \u0130stanbul Ayd\u0131n \u00dcniversitesi \u0130ktisadi ve \u0130dari Bilimler Fak\u00fcltesi Ekonomi ve Finans B\u00f6l\u00fcm Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Prof. Dr. Ahmet Sedat Aybar, enflasyonun beklenenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde tek haneli rakamlara d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini ve Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n piyasalar\u0131 faiz indirimine haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan duyuruda Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Murat \u00c7etinkaya liderli\u011finde yap\u0131lan Para Politikalar\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizinin y\u00fczde 24 d\u00fczeyinde sabit tutulmas\u0131na karar verilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMerkez Bankas\u0131 temkinli davrand\u0131\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Prof. Dr. Ahmet Sedat Aybar, \u201cPPK\u2019n\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 faiz artt\u0131rmama karar\u0131n\u0131 \u2018beklenen bir karard\u0131\u2019 diye niteleyerek, \u201c\u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f iktisadi ve siyasi geli\u015fmeler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda faiz oran\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmeyece\u011fine dair i\u015faretler vard\u0131. \u0130\u00e7eride \u0130stanbul\u2019daki mahalli se\u00e7imler etraf\u0131nda olu\u015fan belirsizlik, d\u0131\u015far\u0131da ise 29 Haziran\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek G-20 Zirvesi\u2019nde al\u0131nacak kararlar ile ABD-\u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki \u2018ticaret sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n\u2019 nas\u0131l bir duruma evrilece\u011fini \u2018Bekle ve G\u00f6r\u2019 politikas\u0131yla de\u011ferlendiren TCMB temkinli davrand\u0131\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPPK piyasalar\u0131 faiz indirimine haz\u0131rl\u0131yor\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc azaltarak \u00fczerine d\u00fc\u015fen g\u00f6revi yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Aybar, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin son makroekonomik g\u00f6stergeleri olumlu bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm veriyor. Enflasyonun tek haneli rakamlara d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi beklentisi kuvvet kazand\u0131. Ancak ekonomideki daralma da s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n giderek kapanmas\u0131 ve \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn azalmas\u0131, T\u00fcrk varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131 Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrece\u011fi beklentisini do\u011furdu. Ancak PPK 12 Haziran\u2019daki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda zaten fiyatlanm\u0131\u015f olan i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f riskleri g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak g\u00f6sterge faizini de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi. \u00d6te yandan swap faizlerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f PPK\u2019n\u0131n piyasalar\u0131 yak\u0131n gelecekteki bir faiz indirimine \u015fimdiden haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor\u201d \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEnflasyon tek haneli rakamlara inecek\u201d<\/p>\n<p>D\u0131\u015far\u0131daki ekonomik verileri de\u011ferlendiren Ahmet Sedat Aybar, \u201cAmerikan Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (FED) faiz indirimine giderek piyasadaki emisyon hacmini geni\u015fletece\u011fi beklentisi, \u00c7in\u2019in Yuan\u2019\u0131 dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda daha de\u011ferli bir seviyede sabitlemesi, Avrupa Birli\u011fi Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) faiz indirimi beklentisi, T\u00fcrkiye gibi geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin para birimlerinde olumlu etki olu\u015fturabilir. \u0130stanbul yerel se\u00e7imleri, S-400 ve F35 gibi konular\u0131n gelecek g\u00fcnlerde ne olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n netle\u015fmesinin, enflasyonun tek haneli rakamlara daha \u00e7abuk inmesine ve para politikas\u0131n\u0131n iktisadi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye uyumlu hale getirilebilece\u011fine \u015fahit olaca\u011f\u0131z\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00dcRK\u0130YE CUMHUR\u0130YET\u0130 MERKEZ BANKASI, PARA POL\u0130T\u0130KALARI KURULU\u2019NUN ALDI\u011eI POL\u0130T\u0130KA FA\u0130Z\u0130N\u0130N Y\u00dcZDE 24 D\u00dcZEY\u0130NDE SAB\u0130T TUTULMASI KARARI P\u0130YASALARCA OLUMLU KAR\u015eILANDI. \u0130STANBUL AYDIN \u00dcN\u0130VERS\u0130TES\u0130 \u0130KT\u0130SAD\u0130 VE \u0130DAR\u0130 B\u0130L\u0130MLER FAK\u00dcLTES\u0130 EKONOM\u0130 VE F\u0130NANS B\u00d6L\u00dcM BA\u015eKANI PROF. DR. AHMET SEDAT AYBAR, ENFLASYONUN BEKLENENDEN DAHA HIZLI B\u0130R \u015eEK\u0130LDE TEK HANEL\u0130 RAKAMLARA D\u00dc\u015eECE\u011e\u0130N\u0130 VE MERKEZ BANKASI\u2019NIN P\u0130YASALARI FA\u0130Z \u0130ND\u0130R\u0130M\u0130NE HAZIRLADI\u011eINI S\u00d6YLED\u0130.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":168827,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[3634,40524,5865,1018,279,16285,12281,5043,2750,38896],"class_list":["post-168826","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel","tag-ahmet","tag-aybar","tag-beklenenden","tag-daha","tag-dr","tag-dusecek","tag-enflasyon","tag-hizli","tag-prof","tag-sedat"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.tvturk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/prof-dr-ahmet-sedat-aybar-enflasyon-beklenenden-daha-hizli-dusecek_21c670a.jpg?fit=1000%2C666","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paKIfm-HV0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/168826","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=168826"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/168826\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/168827"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=168826"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=168826"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.tvturk.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=168826"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}