Deprem Tahmin Uzman Kadir S\u00fct\u00e7\u00fc, Marmara Denizi\u2019ndeki hareketlilik artt\u0131. 4 ayda 1 deprem olmas\u0131 gerekirken, son ayalarda 8 depremin meydana gelmesi depremlerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor\u2019\u2019 dedi.<\/p>\n
Deprem Tahmin Uzman\u0131 Kadir S\u00fct\u00e7\u00fc, yapt\u0131klar\u0131 deprem tahmin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda bilgiler verdi. Marmara Denizi\u2019nde hareketli\u011fin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten S\u00fct\u00e7\u00fc, 4 ayda 1 deprem olmas\u0131 gerekirken, son aylarda 8 depremin meydana geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. S\u00fct\u00e7\u00fc, tahminleri nas\u0131l yapt\u0131klar\u0131na, s\u0131cakl\u0131kla deprem ili\u015fkisi ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de olabilecek b\u00fcy\u00fck depremlerin nerede olaca\u011f\u0131na dair a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulundu. Ayr\u0131ca S\u00fcr\u00e7\u00fc, 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de afet y\u0131l\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtti.<\/p>\n
\u2019\u2019Marmara Denizi\u2019ndeki hareketlilik artt\u0131\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n
Marmara Denizi\u2019ndeki hareketlili\u011fin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na vurgu yapan Kadir S\u00fct\u00e7\u00fc, \u2019\u201940 ve 41\u2019inci enlem ve 27, 28, 29, 30 boylam\u0131 takip ediyoruz. Burada 2003 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri toplam 50 deprem meydana geldi. 4.0 ve \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckteki depremler oldu. Bunlar\u0131n son 8 tanesi ise Kas\u0131m, Aral\u0131k, Ocak ve \u015eubat\u2019ta meydana geldi. Bu demektir ki; 4 ayda 1 deprem olmas\u0131 gerekirken, son ayalarda 8 depremin meydana gelmesi depremlerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor\u2019\u2019 \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
\u2019\u20192019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de afet y\u0131l\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n
2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in afet y\u0131l\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc dile getiren S\u00fct\u00e7\u00fc, \u2019\u20191971\u2019den itibaren gelen istatistik verilerde 1998 y\u0131l\u0131 en s\u0131cak y\u0131l olarak kay\u0131tlara ge\u00e7mi\u015f. 1999 y\u0131l\u0131nda Marmara ve D\u00fczce depremi meydana gelmi\u015f. 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise yine en s\u0131cak y\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda da K\u00fctahya ve Van depremi olmu\u015f. Mevsimlere g\u00f6re bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 en s\u0131cak y\u0131l olarak g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle 2019 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de afet y\u0131l\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 7\u2019lik bir depremin olmas\u0131 ya da 5 ile 7 aras\u0131nda deprem f\u0131rt\u0131nas\u0131 olmas\u0131 normal olarak geliyor\u2019\u2019 diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
\u2019\u2019Marmara Denizi\u2019ndeki faylarda b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem olabilir\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de belenen b\u00fcy\u00fck depremlerin nerede olabilece\u011fine dair tahmin yapan S\u00fct\u00e7\u00fc, \u2019\u2019Genel olarak Kuzey Anadolu Fay\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00fcneyde G\u00f6kova enerjisini bo\u015faltt\u0131. Bu nedenle Erzincan Fay\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. E\u011fer Van depremi etkilemi\u015f olursa Van depreminin bat\u0131s\u0131ndaki faylar olabilir. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Marmara Denizi\u2019ndeki faylarda b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem olabilir diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Verilerimizi de\u011ferlendirmek gerekiyor. \u0130stanbul depremi olmadan \u00f6nce kar\u0131nca laboratuvar\u0131m\u0131zdaki kar\u0131ncalar\u0131n \u00f6lmesi gerekiyor. Ayr\u0131ca 288 bin 161 uydu g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fcnde, y\u00fcksek hava bas\u0131nc\u0131n\u0131n ve al\u00e7ak hava bas\u0131nc\u0131n\u0131n etkiledi\u011fi S\u00fct\u00e7\u00fc Bulutlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n takibini yap\u0131yoruz. Bu takipleri yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u00fcksek hava bas\u0131nc\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015ftu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nem olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bunu durumla ile kar\u0131nca laboratuvar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 takip ederek bug\u00fcne kadar yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z 28 bin 158 tahmin do\u011fruland\u0131. Hi\u00e7 \u015fa\u015fmad\u0131 ve sapma g\u00f6stermedi. Bunlar\u0131 takip ederek depremleri \u00f6nceden s\u00f6yleyece\u011fiz\u2019\u2019 dedi.<\/p>\n
\u2019\u2019Depremler ile s\u0131cakl\u0131k aras\u0131nda bir ba\u011flant\u0131 oldu\u011funu y\u00fczde 100 do\u011frulad\u0131k\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n
S\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n depremle ili\u015fkisi a\u00e7\u0131klayan S\u00fct\u00e7\u00fc, \u2019\u20191624 y\u0131l\u0131nda Galileo termometreyi bulmu\u015f ama s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011fa etki eden fakt\u00f6rler aras\u0131na depremleri almam\u0131\u015f. Bunu bir noksanl\u0131k olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. 288 bin 161 uydu g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fcnde, depremlerle s\u0131cakl\u0131 aras\u0131nda ba\u011flant\u0131y\u0131 y\u00fczde 100 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fck ve do\u011fruland\u0131. Verilerimizde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi merkez olarak ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, Gr\u00f6nland Adas\u0131, Orta Amerika, Hint Okyanusu ve \u00c7in\u2019den daire \u00e7izerek bu alanlardaki y\u00fcksek ve al\u00e7ak hava bas\u0131nc\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck olarak 18 saat takip ediyoruz. Bu takipte b\u00fcy\u00fck depremler hi\u00e7bir zaman al\u00e7ak hava bas\u0131nca oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rmedik. Al\u00e7ak hava bas\u0131nc\u0131nda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rmedi\u011fimiz i\u00e7in de ya\u011fmur ve kar ya\u011farken de rastlamad\u0131k. Yani \u015fuandaki verilerimizde g\u00f6re, herhangi bir yere ya\u011fmur ya da kar ya\u011farken, 7 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bir depreme rastlamad\u0131k. Bu nedenle depremler ile s\u0131cakl\u0131k aras\u0131nda bir ba\u011flant\u0131 oldu\u011funu y\u00fczde 100 do\u011frulad\u0131k\u2019\u2019 ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
S\u00fct\u00e7\u00fc s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle tamamlad\u0131: \u2019\u20192018\u2019i en az deprem olan y\u0131l olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. 3\u2019l\u00fck depremleri baz olarak ald\u0131k. Daha \u00f6nce Kandili verilerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda 3\u2019l\u00fck depremleri veriyordu. 3.0 ve daha b\u00fcy\u00fck depremleri 2003 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda 924 deprem olmu\u015f. En az deprem olan y\u0131l\u0131 2018 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. 2019\u2019da ise \u015fuana kadar 3 tane 5.0\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde deprem oldu. Ge\u00e7en sene 1 y\u0131l boyunca 3 tane deprem oldu. Bu y\u0131l sadece 3 ayda 5.0\u2019in \u00fczerinde deprem oldu; 2 tanesi Akdeniz\u2019de, 1 tanesi \u00c7anakkale\u2019de oldu. 2017\u2019de daha \u00e7ok deprem olmu\u015ftu; 5.0\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde 21 deprem oldu. Buna g\u00f6re 2019\u2019u daha az deprem y\u0131l\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum\u2019\u2019.
![\"\u2019\u2019Marmara](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.tvturk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/marmara-denizindeki-faylarda-buyuk-bir-deprem-olabilir_39df5e3.jpg?w=496&h=366\" "\\"\u2019\u2019Marmara")
<\/a> <\/div> <\/div> <\/div> <\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"